I’m a political junkie living in Manhattan. My vote never counts so I thought I’d blog about votes that do count … YOURS!
The next wave of actually contestable states are: Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. These states are both genuine Battlegrounds and would be the likely states to put a candidate officially over the 270 threshold for victory.
The final wave of states are Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Nevada. Despite these states mostly high electoral values, this last wave of states are likely already accounted for with the GOP carrying Florida and Nevada and the Democrats carrying Michigan and Pennsylvania regardless of what current polling or generally misleading campaign rhetoric would have you believe.
For anyone looking for North Carolina thinking it’s a Battleground State, it’s not.
That said, expect to see plenty of blogging about the first two waves and diminishing blogging about the last wave absent a meaningful shift in polling away from the projected winner.
My email is: battlegroundwatch “at” gmail.com
[Note: the above assessment is from May 23. Today Nevada is not accounted for by any stretch of the imagination]