The press will soon stop the charade of referring to North Carolina as a Battleground as we’re seeing it already disappear from the lexicon. The Associated Press’ Kasie Hunt gets the scoop on where those resources are likely heading:
[T]he GOP presidential nominee’s advisers and the Republican National Committee are looking to give Romney more routes to reaching the 270 Electoral College votes needed for victory. They are weighing whether to shift resources from North Carolina, where Republicans express confidence of winning, into states long considered safe territory for President Barack Obama, including Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Like we blogged in our weekly ad spending piece:
One of the “tells” we told you about MONTHS ago about this battleground map was to keep an eye on October and see where the battle was being waged more intensely. If it was in the New South battleground states of FL/NC and VA more than the Midwest, advantage Obama. Well, this list of markets tells you, the battle is in the Midwest, that’s good news for Romney.
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New RAs poll has Romney up 52-46 in NC with a D+11 sample. So this is sewn up.
Nice
I’m in Arkansas. The Democrat Party of Arkansas has sent emails the last few weeks out to us on their subscriber list, to get shipped out to North Carolina. So they are making calls to North Carolina from Arkansas…and have shipped “who knows” how many volunteers out there.
Oct 9th i got this email here in Arkansas from Obama for America…
Paul –
We know voters here in North Carolina are going to have a huge role in deciding the presidential election in a few weeks.
Romney and his allies know this, too — and that’s why they’re already spending millions of dollars attacking President Obama over the airwaves in North Carolina. It’s on us to step up to defend the President’s record — and make sure that voters aren’t misled by the negativity and distortions that the other side is churning out.
That’s why Arkansans are taking road trips to North Carolina to help with early voting and GOTV events in the final weeks leading up to Election Day.
Can you join us?
After you say you’re in, a local organizer will get in touch to work out the details.
We know that voters respond better to conversations with people like them than they do to TV ads. That’s why we’re building the largest grassroots campaign in the history of politics.
We need to engage as many voters as we can about the issues that affect them most, answer some of their questions, and talk to them about President Obama’s accomplishments. When we reach out to people on a personal level, we’re building their connection to this organization — and making folks more likely to come out and vote for the President.
But that’s something only we can do.
Trips like these are a big part of how we’ll win this election. We’ll even help you find a carpool so the trip is easy to make.
So come and help reach out to voters here in North Carolina:
http://nc.barackobama.com/Arkansas-Trips-to-North-Carolina
I have drove past there little phone call site just to see how many folks…at tops the most i have seen is a dozen…and it looked like college kids, being we have 2 college campuses nearby.
I read a Virginia voter’s report that Obama campaign called offering tickets to Preezy’s George Mason University rally on Friday. Virginia going the way of NC…into Romney column. Florida also up for Romney. FL NC and VA total 57 EVs so that brings Romney up to 258 votes (assuming all McCain states vote Romney). Push hard and keep pushing.
I may go the the Fairfax one, just to gauge it.
Take pictures tribe…and look for stickers on cars, they passing signs out so on. Good scoop on ur part if so
ROMNEY has just taken, i believe his first, the lead in the RCP ELECTORAL Count
So what’s the deal with Nevada? Heller is up 6 but Romney still is behind Obama? That doesn’t make much sense to me.
Anecdotal evidence in North Carolina: In the four most populated NC counties, based on absentee votes ALREADY cast so far, Republicans and Unaffiliated voters have increased their vote share compared to 2008. Meanwhile, Democrat vote share is down:
Mecklenburg County: 2008 51% R 31% D 18% Other
2012 53% R 28% D 19% Other
(+2 R; - 3 D; +1 Other)
Wake County: 2008: 52% R 32% D 16% Other
2012: 53% R 26% D 21% Other
(+1 R; - 6 D; +5 Other)
Forsyth County: 2008: 59% R 29% D 11% Other
2012: 57% R 27% D 16% Other
(-2 R; -2 D; +5 Other)
Guilford County: 2008: 52% R 35% D 14% Other
2012: 55% R 29% D 16% Other
(+3 R; -6 D; +2 Other)
Early “One-Stop” voting starts TODAY in NC so the data over the next two weeks will be even more critical.
I think, realistically, Wisconsin is going to fall in line come election day and will be firmly in Obama’s column. I haven’t seen enough statistically significant polling information to suggest otherwise and, for a state that has voted blue since the heady days of Dukakis to turn red, it would take a significant amount of effort on Mitt Romney’s part to carry it.
I’m fairly confident that Obama will carry Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.. more so after Romney’s disastrous performance in the second debate. Check my electoral math and college prediction here: http://wp.me/pC12d-gj
Romney’s disastrous performance in the second debate? Really? So disastrous that Romney is now up by 7 in the latest Gallup Poll.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-trial-heat-obama-romney.aspx
Thanks for a good laugh, I enjoyed it.
Tommy can u please come back November 7th?
Happy to! Very interested to see how the next few weeks unfold
Tommy, you are an uneducated TROLL…….Go back to the daily kos or MSDNC where you belong.
Hey Mike,
Not a troll at all – I didn’t mean to cause offence. I’m just a Brit with an interest in American politics; our political system here in the UK doesn’t translate into either Reps or Dems. Just keen to see what others thoughts are, etc.
Again, apologies – certainly not wanting to troll