These aren’t early voting numbers, just the tally of actual voters registered by party:
The IA registration #s are staggering: Rs picked up 98,000 (!) on Ds since 08 and lead now by 11,000—and Iowans vote on election day!
— Larry Schweikart (@LSchweikart) October 18, 2012
Now, given those early vote numbers in IA want some amazing news: Registration #s=622,176 Republicans; 611,284 Democrats
— Larry Schweikart (@LSchweikart) October 18, 2012
9 Comments
I don’t have the specific numbers, but I recall reading not too long ago that the early numbers in Iowa (absentee) were very similar to 2004 (GWB won IA by 10,000 votes in 04).
Fingers crossed…
I have sent money to the Republican Party of Iowa…i have read or heard stories of their offices in Iowa being few and far between…but also heard from others they have plenty of man power there for early voting incentive. Link or update on early voting #’s comparison to 04 08 by any chance.
More good news today. Gallup national: R 52 and o 45. This is one point better than yestetday. Looks like the debate is not helping O so far. He also lost a point today in the Rasmussen tracking (R 49 O 47). It will take a few days to see the complete impact of the 2nd debate but still the trend is good and not in O’s favor. Also, Rasmussen released a good NC poll: R 52 and o 46. Yes, not a Battleground!!!
Iowa
Republican 142,370 86,249
Democratic 212,663 140,631
No Party 107,701 57,414
Other 485 275
Total 463,219 284,569
First number is requested and second number is received (absentee ballots in IA)
Just to add a point, I wonder if Adrian thinks the difference can be a bit more than 60k (D vs R) before election day since it appears that Rep registrations have increased by a nice amount?
HD you have any trend lines for lets say since the first presidential debate and republican returns vs democrat? Return of their ballots.
My sense with Adrian is 60k is the safe harbor #. Between registrations and enthusiasm both favoring the GOP it likely isn’t mandatory to get below 60k. But it’s the level where you can start feeling safer about the prospects on election day.
Paul, from what I remember, the R ballots difference decreased from the 80k’s into the 70k’s region and then dipped down to 67k about a week ago so it was trending very well. But, ever since then, it’s actually trickled up a little bit and is back up to 70k difference.
great post nice info I am so worried and can’t really understand why anyone would really vote Obama I have 50 unemployed friends do they not care about 23 million unemployed Americans?
have tagged this post to keep cheking it
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