Obama leads by 2-points (46 to 44) in the Old Dominion State. A much more reasonable result than some of the non-sensical polls last week. No cross-tabs for party ID or mention of Undecideds but process of elimination says 8 % and that’s a lot. The good news for Romney is neither of the Independents are registering much of an impact nor is the Green Party’s Jill Stein who failed to garner even 1%.
Thanks to commenter Waingro we have the crosstabs and the party ID is D +3 (Dem 38, Rep 35, Ind 27) which off the 2008 D +6 (Dem 39, Rep 33, Ind 27) but above 2004 of R +4 (Dem 35, Rep 39, Ind 26).
The Suffolk University/NBC12 poll shows President Obama getting 46 percent of likely voters to Mitt Romney’s 44 percent. Virginia is considered crucial to determining which party controls both the White House and the Senate. Obama campaigned in Virginia Beach Thursday, while Romney appeared in Springfield. The Suffolk poll found that 46 percent of Virginia voters believe Obama is the better debater of the two candidates, while only 19 percent picked Romney, setting a high bar for Obama to clear ahead of next week’s debate in Denver. While Obama and Romney are effectively tied, Constitution Party nominee Virgil Goode and Libertarian Gary Johnson got 1 percent apiece, while Green Party pick Jill Stein got less. Some Republicans have feared Goode, a longtime congressman with a conservative record, could sap votes from Romney.
| For President | Percent |
|---|---|
| Barack Obama | 46 |
| Mitt Romney | 44 |
| Virgil Goode | 1 |
| Gary Johnson | 1 |
| Undecided | 8 |
3 Comments
D+3 I read somewhere
The thing about Virginia is that just a year ago they gave the GOP its largest margin in the state house in history and gave the GOP control of the state senate. It’s also worth noting that the GOP holds an 8-3 edge in the Virginia delegation to the House. If I recall, the polling in 2009 underpolled McDonnell. So I’d guess a lot of Virginia polling might focus too much on the DC area.
Jill Stein is on the ballot there. Funny how the Green candidate makes about 1 poll for every 10 that the Libertarian does.