Obama +4 in Florida — Quinnipiac

In the same poll that only last month had Mitt Romney leading by +6, the latest Quinnipiac survey flips 10 points and sees President Obama leading 46 – 42:

A shift by independent voters gives President Barack Obama a 46 – 42 percent lead over Republican Gov. Mitt Romney in the Sunshine State, according to the independent Quinnipiac University poll. Obama’s lead reflects the coalition that elected him four years ago. He carries women 49 – 39 percent, African-Americans 91 – 5 percent and voters 18 to 34 years old 55 – 28 percent. Obama also leads 48 – 41 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old. Men split 44 – 45 percent. Romney carries white voters 50 – 37 percent and voters over 55 years old 48 – 43 percent.

Independent voters shift from 44 – 36 percent for Romney in a May 23 Quinnipiac University poll, showing Romney ahead 47 – 41 percent overall, to 46 – 37 percent for Obama today. In today’s results, Obama carries Democrats 88 – 4 percent, while Romney takes Republicans 91 – 5 percent.

While Florida voters say 48 – 44 percent that Romney would do a better job on the economy, they split 45 – 45 percent on who would create more jobs and say 49 – 44 percent that Obama would do more “to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans.”

“The president is doing better among independent voters,” said Brown. “It also is worth noting that the last Quinnipiac University Florida poll was on the heels of the president’s backing of gay marriage, which might have hurt him at that time.

“At this point, Romney is not well-defined in the minds of many voters, especially those in the middle. This movement reflects that uncertainty among voters who are up for grabs.” From June 12 – 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,697 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percent.

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